Chapecoense 0-4 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Jul 2026

Chapecoense
0-4 HT 0-2
Flamengo
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Chapecoense vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
56%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.06
No
43%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
13.2
1/2
7%
23.5
1/X
5%
21.8
X/1
7%
14.8
X/2
18%
3.71
X/X
9%
6.09
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
31%
1.67
2/X
6%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-11.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
44%
+12.8pp
43%
BTTS No
56%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chapecoense v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 71%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.06/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.79
+22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
20.2 Crosses 20.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chapecoense vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Flamengo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 2.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
234 Passes 431
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-2 HT 2-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
12.07.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
06.10.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
12.05.2019 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
09.09.2018 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
13.05.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 3-2 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1

Chapecoense 0-4 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
0-4
AWAY Flamengo
0.94 xG 1.32
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
324 Passes 619
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Chapecoense vs Flamengo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Flamengo ran out comfortable winners over Chapecoense 4-0 away from home in the Brazil - Serie A on 23 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.94 to 1.32.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chapecoense and 1.83 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Flamengo?

Chapecoense 0-4 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 23%, draw 21%, Flamengo 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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