Internacional 1-2 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.41
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
10%
5.21
X/2
11%
6.04
X/X
12%
4.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.28
2/X
5%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.49/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.15
-7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.8 Crosses 16.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.32 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
07.04.2025 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 2-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
29.08.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
26.08.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
05.11.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
02.07.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-2
AWAY Cruzeiro
2.14 xG 1.67
21 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
263 Passes 322
31 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ Internacional vs Cruzeiro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cruzeiro edged past Internacional 2-1 away from home in the Brazil - Serie A on 23 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.14 to 1.67.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Internacional and 0.50 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Cruzeiro?

Internacional 1-2 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Internacional 44%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Internacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
23 Jul 2026
01:30 Coritiba vs Palmeiras Analysis →
03:30 Chapecoense vs Flamengo Analysis →
03:30 Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense Analysis →