Coritiba 1-3 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Jul 2026

Coritiba
1-3 HT 0-2
Palmeiras
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Coritiba vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.34
1/2
10%
29.5
1/X
11%
14.95
X/1
7%
7.55
X/2
16%
4.39
X/X
12%
3.87
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.75
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coritiba v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 50%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.04/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.18
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.7 Crosses 21.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Coritiba vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
324 Passes 381
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 0-2 HT 0-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
05.06.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-1 HT 2-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
07.10.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-0 HT 2-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
13.06.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 0-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
18.02.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
15.10.2020 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-3 HT 1-2 Coritiba Coritiba BR1

Coritiba 1-3 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
1-3
AWAY Palmeiras
0.71 xG 0.90
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
382 Passes 382
15 Box Touches 19
37 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Coritiba vs Palmeiras
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Palmeiras beat Coritiba 3-1 away from home in the Brazil - Serie A on 23 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.71 to 0.90.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coritiba and 2.00 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Palmeiras?

Coritiba 1-3 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 24%, draw 30%, Palmeiras 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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