Cruzeiro 2-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.21
6+ Goals
10%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.37
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.13
X/2
10%
8.77
X/X
9%
4.21
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
7.54
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.85
Value flag · 2/X at 15.85 — our 9% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.60/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.50
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.0 Crosses 14.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Internacional
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
362 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2025 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 2-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
29.08.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
26.08.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
05.11.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
02.07.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
06.10.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
2-1
AWAY Internacional
1.27 xG 0.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
274 Passes 360
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro edged past Internacional 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 45% of the ball to Internacional's 55%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.27 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.17 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Internacional?

Cruzeiro 2-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 50%, draw 25%, Internacional 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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