Bahia 2-0 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Aug 2025

Bahia
2-0 HT 1-0
Santos
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Bahia vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
13%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.06
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
18%
4.09
X/2
7%
10.25
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
8%
23.2
2/2
8%
8.41
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahia v Santos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.56/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.42
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.3 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Bahia vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Santos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 352
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2025 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BR1
19.09.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-2 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
01.06.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BRK
18.05.2023 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BRK
11.05.2023 Santos Santos 3-0 HT 2-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
12.09.2021 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1

Bahia 2-0 Santos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
2-0
AWAY Santos
0.64 xG 0.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
426 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia got the better of Santos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bahia had 54% of the ball to Santos's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.64 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bahia and 1.33 for Santos.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Santos?

Bahia 2-0 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bahia 58%, draw 23%, Santos 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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