Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Boca Juniors — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Boca Juniors
LKU
2-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
LKU
1-2
HT 0-2
Boca Juniors
LKU
2-1
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
LKU
Cruzeiro 2-1 Boca Juniors — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro squeezed past Boca Juniors 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 66% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 34%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.11 to 1.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.60 for Boca Juniors.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors?
Cruzeiro 2-1 Boca Juniors in the Copa Sudamericana on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 45%, draw 27%, Boca Juniors 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.