Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 23 Aug 2024

Sportivo Ameliano
0-0 HT 0-0
Libertad
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2024

Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.69
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.56
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
4%
16.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.43
X/2
12%
4.04
X/X
11%
3.64
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.81
2/X
7%
15.25
Value flag · X/1 at 7.43 — our 18% vs market 9.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+7.8pp
22%
Draw
30%
-7.5pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.0pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sportivo Ameliano v Libertad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Libertad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.55 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
222 Passes 389
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
16.08.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano CSA
26.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
12.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 4-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
21.10.2023 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
30.07.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR

Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0-0
AWAY Libertad
0.19 xG 1.17
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
137 Passes 451
60% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano and Libertad played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 29% of the ball to Libertad's 71%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.19 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.83 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad?

Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 Libertad in the Copa Sudamericana on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 32%, draw 22%, Libertad 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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