AFC Malmö 1-0 Oskarshamns AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +25%
2.28/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.99
+6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2025 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 1-3 HT 1-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
31.08.2024 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 4-3 HT 1-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
27.04.2024 AFC Malmö 1-1 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
12.08.2023 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 HT 1-2 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
27.05.2023 AFC Malmö 4-0 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
1-0
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Oskarshamns AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö squeezed past Oskarshamns AIK 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Malmö as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 61% of the ball to Oskarshamns AIK's 39%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for AFC Malmö and 1.80 for Oskarshamns AIK.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Oskarshamns AIK?

AFC Malmö 1-0 Oskarshamns AIK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 59%, draw 21%, Oskarshamns AIK 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Malmö) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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