Bavois 3-1 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.9
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.21
Over 2.5
65%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
30%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
48%
+6.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.9pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bavois EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -10%
1.96/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.43
+0% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bavois
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Luzern II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Bavois 0-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
04.08.2024 Luzern II Luzern II 0-3 HT 0-1 Bavois İSV1Y
17.04.2024 Bavois 5-2 HT 2-2 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
14.10.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 4-3 HT 2-0 Bavois İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bavois
3-1
AWAY Luzern II
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bavois vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois got the better of Luzern II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bavois as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bavois had 49% of the ball to Luzern II's 51%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Bavois and 1.75 for Luzern II.

What was the final score of Bavois vs Luzern II?

Bavois 3-1 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bavois vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bavois 55%, draw 18%, Luzern II 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bavois), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bavois) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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