Alcione 1-0 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
5.3
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.8pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Triestina
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Triestina Triestina 1-0 HT 1-0 Alcione İTC
12.10.2024 Alcione 1-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
1-0
AWAY Triestina
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione nicked a narrow win over Triestina 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alcione as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Alcione had 42% of the ball to Triestina's 58%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alcione and 0.50 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Triestina?

Alcione 1-0 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcione win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alcione 50%, draw 27%, Triestina 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcione), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alcione) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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