Sassari Torres 1-0 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
1.47/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.13
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
484 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pontedera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-0 HT 1-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
12.10.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 1-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
23.02.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 1-2 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
22.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
05.03.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
29.10.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-0 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
1-0
AWAY Pontedera
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres squeezed past Pontedera 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 44% of the ball to Pontedera's 56%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassari Torres and 0.83 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Pontedera?

Sassari Torres 1-0 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 58%, draw 22%, Pontedera 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✓ Under 2.5
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