Ascoli 0-0 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.45/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.90
-8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pianese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2025 Pianese Pianese 1-1 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
02.09.2024 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
0-0
AWAY Pianese
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli and Pianese played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ascoli had 70% of the ball to Pianese's 30%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ascoli had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ascoli and 0.50 for Pianese.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Pianese?

Ascoli 0-0 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 51%, draw 24%, Pianese 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ascoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5
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