Bragantino 4-2 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.67
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
9%
5.78
X/X
10%
3.63
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
17%
4.56
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -20%
1.16/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.34
+1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.6 Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fluminense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
303 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
28.07.2024 Bragantino 0-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
14.04.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
23.10.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
04.06.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 2-1 HT 2-0 Bragantino BR1
13.11.2022 Bragantino 0-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
4-2
AWAY Fluminense
1.55 xG 1.04
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
264 Passes 503
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino saw off Fluminense 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 36% of the ball to Fluminense's 64%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 1.55 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bragantino and 1.33 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Fluminense?

Bragantino 4-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 42%, draw 26%, Fluminense 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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