Fluminense 2-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
4.99
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.49
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
14%
4.15
X/2
8%
8.76
X/X
21%
4.1
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
12%
7.74
2/X
6%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.2pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.40/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.56
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
21.9 Crosses 17.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bragantino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
382 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Bragantino 0-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
14.04.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
23.10.2023 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
04.06.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 2-1 HT 2-0 Bragantino BR1
13.11.2022 Bragantino 0-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
24.07.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 2-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
2-1
AWAY Bragantino
2.10 xG 0.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
341 Passes 419
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense nicked a narrow win over Bragantino 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fluminense had 46% of the ball to Bragantino's 54%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.10 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fluminense's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fluminense and 0.83 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Bragantino?

Fluminense 2-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 41%, draw 34%, Bragantino 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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