Ceara 2-0 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Apr 2025

Ceara
2-0 HT 1-0
Gremio
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Ceara vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
4.88
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.97
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.62
X/2
12%
7.24
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
15%
5.94
2/X
9%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v Gremio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.45/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.58
-15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.1 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ceara vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gremio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
297 Passes 482
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.09.2021 Gremio Gremio 2-0 HT 2-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
30.05.2021 Ceara Ceara 3-2 HT 2-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
15.11.2020 Gremio Gremio 4-2 HT 3-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
13.08.2020 Ceara Ceara 1-1 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
10.10.2019 Gremio Gremio 2-1 HT 2-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
20.05.2019 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 2-1 Gremio Gremio BR1

Ceara 2-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
2-0
AWAY Gremio
1.29 xG 0.93
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
187 Passes 337
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Gremio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara got the better of Gremio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ceara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ceara had 38% of the ball to Gremio's 62%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.29 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceara and 2.00 for Gremio.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Gremio?

Ceara 2-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ceara 40%, draw 27%, Gremio 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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