Botafogo 2-0 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.71
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.4
X/1
26%
3.71
X/2
8%
15.45
X/X
13%
5.79
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
5%
14.4
2/X
6%
22.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.69/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.87
-5% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
27.4 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Juventude
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.15 xG 1.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
413 Passes 240
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Juventude Juventude 3-2 HT 2-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
22.04.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 5-1 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
21.08.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
01.05.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
12.04.2019 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BRK
05.04.2019 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
2-0
AWAY Juventude
1.67 xG 0.56
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
449 Passes 323
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo beat Juventude 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo had 57% of the ball to Juventude's 43%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.67 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Botafogo and 1.67 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Juventude?

Botafogo 2-0 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 56%, draw 25%, Juventude 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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