Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
17%
6.75
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.88
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
10%
16.15
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
9%
7.66
X/X
12%
3.52
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
8%
7.17
2/X
7%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.32/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.24
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.1 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 1.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
311 Passes 411
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-2 HT 2-2 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
13.09.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRK
29.08.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
03.12.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
06.08.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
02.11.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0-0
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.36 xG 0.37
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
416 Passes 261
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Mineiro at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 60% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 40%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 1.36 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.83 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo?

Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 45%, draw 29%, Sao Paulo 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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