Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 2-2
Corinthians
BR1
3-1
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 3-0 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians cruised past Vasco da Gama 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Corinthians had 53% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 47%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 1.04 to 0.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama?
Corinthians 3-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 52%, draw 25%, Vasco da Gama 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.