Ilves Tampere 1-0 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.32
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.25
1/2
7%
23.65
1/X
8%
12.05
X/1
14%
5.83
X/2
10%
6.29
X/X
13%
5.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.35
2/2
17%
3.66
2/X
6%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.09/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.42
+27% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 83%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
15.1 Crosses 19.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
434 Passes 330
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-1 HT 1-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
08.03.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-4 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
12.06.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
22.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 2-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
09.03.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
27.06.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
1-0
AWAY Inter Turku
0.53 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
333 Passes 464
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere edged past Inter Turku 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Ilves Tampere made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 43% of the ball to Inter Turku's 57%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.53 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Inter Turku.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.67 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku?

Ilves Tampere 1-0 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 39%, draw 27%, Inter Turku 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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