Jarun 1-1 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 30%
-33% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
0.97/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.04
-28% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Dugopolje
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Dugopolje Dugopolje 2-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
02.11.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
25.08.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-2 HT 1-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
06.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 0-2 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
25.11.2023 Jarun Jarun 0-2 HT 0-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-1
AWAY Dugopolje
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun and Dugopolje shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Jarun had 55% of the ball to Dugopolje's 45%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dugopolje led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Jarun and 1.60 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Dugopolje?

Jarun 1-1 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jarun 40%, draw 31%, Dugopolje 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jarun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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