Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.69
4-5 Goals
20%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.17/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.21
-11% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.2 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2025 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
11.08.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
28.04.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
01.10.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
17.06.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
23.10.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-0 HT 1-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-0
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
327 Passes 498
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis edged past Montedio Yamagata 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Tokushima Vortis made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 42% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 58%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.00 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Montedio Yamagata?

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 40%, draw 27%, Montedio Yamagata 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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