ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.89/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.58
-31% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +108%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 20.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
315 Passes 315
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3
20.10.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
08.06.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
06.08.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
02.04.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
04.09.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-1
AWAY Tochigi SC
76% Ball Possession 24%
12 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
581 Passes 147
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC nicked a narrow win over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tochigi SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 76% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 24%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 0.50 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J3 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 34%, draw 27%, Tochigi SC 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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