Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.46/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.73
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.7 Crosses 16.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
182 Passes 393
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.03.2025 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
10.11.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
20.03.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
05.11.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
22.07.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
20.11.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 HT 1-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
289 Passes 312
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki edged past Azul Claro Numazu 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tegevajaro Miyazaki as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 47% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 53%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 0.50 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 54%, draw 22%, Azul Claro Numazu 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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