Sagamihara 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.91/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.29
-32% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 13.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
296 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
06.10.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-3 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
24.02.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
30.09.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
29.04.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
06.11.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-1 HT 3-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-0
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
344 Passes 391
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara squeezed past Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sagamihara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sagamihara had 48% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 52%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagamihara and 1.50 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Sagamihara 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 43%, draw 28%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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