CSF Balti 4-1 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.25
Draw
12%
5.28
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
3%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
76%
+0.9pp
12%
Draw
16%
-4.1pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 11%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
2.04/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/3.44
-21% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSF Balti
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2025 Sparta Selemet 0-2 HT 0-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
26.04.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-3 HT 2-1 Sparta Selemet MOLD
16.03.2025 Sparta Selemet 2-3 HT 0-2 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
26.10.2024 Sparta Selemet 1-1 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
11.11.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-5 HT 0-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
17.09.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSF Balti
4-1
AWAY Sparta Selemet
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSF Balti vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSF Balti swept aside Sparta Selemet 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSF Balti as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CSF Balti had 64% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 36%, shots finished 24-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSF Balti had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CSF Balti and 1.33 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of CSF Balti vs Sparta Selemet?

CSF Balti 4-1 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSF Balti vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSF Balti win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split CSF Balti 77%, draw 12%, Sparta Selemet 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSF Balti), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSF Balti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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