Portimonense vs Vizela Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portimonense v Vizela — Team-Based Signals
Portimonense vs Vizela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Portimonense
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Vizela
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
Portimonense 1-1 Vizela — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense and Vizela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Vizela at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Portimonense had 46% of the ball to Vizela's 54%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.02 to 1.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portimonense and 1.33 for Vizela.
What was the final score of Portimonense vs Vizela?
Portimonense 1-1 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Vizela?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 30%, draw 24%, Vizela 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vizela) went the other way.