Vizela vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vizela v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Vizela vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Portimonense
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Vizela
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Portimonense
POR
Vizela 3-2 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Vizela nicked a narrow win over Portimonense 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vizela as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vizela had 67% of the ball to Portimonense's 33%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 1.45 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vizela had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vizela and 0.83 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Vizela vs Portimonense?
Vizela 3-2 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vizela vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Vizela 57%, draw 21%, Portimonense 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.