UD Oliveirense vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UD Oliveirense v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
UD Oliveirense vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
UD Oliveirense
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR2
1-3
HT 1-2
UD Oliveirense
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Tondela
HAZ
UD Oliveirense 1-3 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela saw off UD Oliveirense 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tondela as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, UD Oliveirense had 66% of the ball to Tondela's 34%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.20 to 4.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UD Oliveirense and 0.83 for Tondela.
What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Tondela?
UD Oliveirense 1-3 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 26%, draw 30%, Tondela 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.