Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 3-1
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-2
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
Al Nassr 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr and Al Ahli Jeddah couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Nassr had 62% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 38%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.90 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Nassr and 1.33 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al Nassr 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Super Cup on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 41%, draw 21%, Al Ahli Jeddah 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.