Chornomorets Odessa 2-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
53%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 51%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.87/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.63
+149% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
260 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.12.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-1 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
10.08.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
14.04.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
30.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
29.04.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-1 HT 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
18.10.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-4 HT 0-3 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chornomorets Odessa nicked a narrow win over Zorya Luhansk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zorya Luhansk at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.83 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Zorya Luhansk?

Chornomorets Odessa 2-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Cup on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 25%, draw 22%, Zorya Luhansk 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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