Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - Premier League, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nacional
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 229
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2026 Nacional Nacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
02.01.2026 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional POR
03.05.2025 Nacional Nacional 1-2 HT 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
23.12.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 2-2 HT 1-1 Nacional Nacional POR
26.04.2021 Nacional Nacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
21.01.2021 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 3-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Nacional POR
PREVIEW Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Vitoria Guimaraes start as strong favourites on our numbers; Nacional's job is to make the game ugly early.

One side has usually been blanked in Vitoria Guimaraes's home league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5, while Nacional's away league games have stayed low-scoring — only 1 of the last 5 cleared 2.5 goals.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.33 for Nacional.

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional Kick-off Time

Vitoria Guimaraes play Nacional in the Portugal - Premier League on 23/08/2026, kick-off 17:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional is a Vitoria Guimaraes win at about 55% probability, priced 1.72 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Vitoria Guimaraes 55%, draw 23%, Nacional 22%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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