Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Radnik Surdulica v Novi Pazar — Team-Based Signals
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Novi Pazar — Actual Match Statistics
Radnik Surdulica came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Novi Pazar 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Radnik Surdulica as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.92, roughly 52%.
On the day, Novi Pazar saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.72 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Radnik Surdulica against 0.83 for Novi Pazar.
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Result & Final Score
Radnik Surdulica 1 - 0 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 23/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 46%, draw 29%, Novi Pazar 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Surdulica), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.