Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.29/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/1.30
+1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Agropecuario Argentino
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.05.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Agropecuario Argentino vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Agropecuario Argentino edged past Arsenal Sarandi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Agropecuario Argentino as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Agropecuario Argentino vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Agropecuario Argentino vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Agropecuario Argentino 49%, draw 31%, Arsenal Sarandi 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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