San Telmo 2-0 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.9pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.42/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.40
+5% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Defensores Unidos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
04.05.2024 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 2-2 HT 1-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
26.08.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
16.04.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 3-2 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo beat Defensores Unidos 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Telmo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Defensores Unidos led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Telmo and 2.00 for Defensores Unidos.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Defensores Unidos?

San Telmo 2-0 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 56%, draw 26%, Defensores Unidos 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Telmo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Telmo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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