Defensores De Belgrano 3-0 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.67
No
65%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.1pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
33%
+1.5pp
65%
BTTS No
67%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.05/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.23
-19% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
04.05.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-2 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
12.09.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
30.04.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
02.10.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-3 HT 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
08.11.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBM
20.06.2015 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano ran out comfortable winners over Almirante Brown 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Defensores De Belgrano as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.50 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?

Defensores De Belgrano 3-0 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 44%, draw 37%, Almirante Brown 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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