Almirante Brown 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.44
Over 2.5
45%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
28%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
45%
Away Win
40%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
66%
-11.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
34%
+11.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.88/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.28
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
12.09.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
30.04.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
02.10.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-3 HT 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
08.11.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBM
20.06.2015 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano saw off Almirante Brown 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Defensores De Belgrano as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Almirante Brown and 0.80 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Almirante Brown 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 23%, draw 32%, Defensores De Belgrano 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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