Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

Arsenal Sarandi
1-0 HT 1-0
Agropecuario Argentino
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Arsenal Sarandi vs Agropecuario Argentino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.7
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
34%
-6.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal Sarandi v Agropecuario Argentino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 34%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.99/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.03
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.3
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi nicked a narrow win over Agropecuario Argentino 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Arsenal Sarandi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 35%, draw 27%, Agropecuario Argentino 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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