Paykan Qazvin 1-0 Niroye Zamini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
2.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.58
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.22 — our 42% vs market 38.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Niroye Zamini EU Bookmakers 27%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+114% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Paykan Qazvin vs Niroye Zamini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paykan Qazvin edged past Niroye Zamini 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paykan Qazvin as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Paykan Qazvin vs Niroye Zamini?

Paykan Qazvin 1-0 Niroye Zamini in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paykan Qazvin vs Niroye Zamini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paykan Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paykan Qazvin 48%, draw 29%, Niroye Zamini 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paykan Qazvin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paykan Qazvin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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