Saipa 1-2 Mes Soongoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Sep 2024

Saipa
1-2 HT 1-2
Mes Soongoun
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2024/2025

Saipa vs Mes Soongoun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.59
Over 2.5
31%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.03
No
64%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.89
6+ Goals
6%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 42% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.0pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
59%
+9.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
41%
-9.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
45%
-9.3pp
64%
BTTS No
55%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saipa v Mes Soongoun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.09/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.55
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Saipa vs Mes Soongoun Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mes Soongoun
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
22.11.2023 Saipa Saipa 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Soongoun nicked a narrow win over Saipa 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Mes Soongoun found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Mes Soongoun?

Saipa 1-2 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Mes Soongoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Saipa 37%, draw 35%, Mes Soongoun 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saipa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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