23/09/2024
·
18:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Sanat Naft vs Shahrdari Astara Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
60%
19%
Draw
24%
15%
Away Win
16%
50%
Under 2.5
57%
50%
Over 2.5
43%
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
61%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanat Naft v Shahrdari Astara — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sanat Naft
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shahrdari Astara
EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-22%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-50%
/
-7%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
380 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
261 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sanat Naft vs Shahrdari Astara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sanat Naft nicked a narrow win over Shahrdari Astara 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanat Naft as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Shahrdari Astara?
Sanat Naft 1-0 Shahrdari Astara in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Shahrdari Astara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanat Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 66%, draw 19%, Shahrdari Astara 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanat Naft), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sanat Naft)
✓ BTTS No
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IRANAZ
More Iran - Azadegan League
23 Sep 2024