Pumas UNAM vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Tijuana
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
3-1
HT 1-0
Tijuana
MEK
Pumas UNAM 1-0 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM edged past Tijuana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 40% of the ball to Tijuana's 60%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.62 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pumas UNAM's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.33 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Tijuana?
Pumas UNAM 1-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 53%, draw 24%, Tijuana 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.