Santos Laguna vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos Laguna v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Santos Laguna vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Toluca
MEK
0-5
HT 0-2
Toluca
MEK
1-2
HT 0-0
Toluca
MEK
4-3
HT 2-2
Santos Laguna
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
Santos Laguna 2-0 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Santos Laguna got the better of Toluca 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Toluca at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Santos Laguna had 37% of the ball to Toluca's 63%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.45 to 0.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.50 for Toluca.
What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Toluca?
Santos Laguna 2-0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 23%, draw 22%, Toluca 54%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.