Forfar Athletic 3-0 Aberdeen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.41
2-3 Goals
34%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
11.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 32% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
+0.0pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen II EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.91/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.81
+56% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Aberdeen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic cruised past Aberdeen II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Forfar Athletic as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Aberdeen II?

Forfar Athletic 3-0 Aberdeen II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Aberdeen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forfar Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 60%, draw 20%, Aberdeen II 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forfar Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forfar Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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