Spartans 1-0 Dundee United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.63
Over 2.5
70%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
2.75
No
37%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
5.58
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
45%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.47
6+ Goals
14%
5.47
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.0 — our 45% vs market 41.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
82%
-9.9pp
17%
Draw
11%
+6.0pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+4.0pp
30%
Under 2.5
34%
-4.1pp
70%
Over 2.5
66%
+4.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
32%
+30.3pp
37%
BTTS No
68%
-30.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United II EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
5.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.04
+90% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +33%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Dundee United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans squeezed past Dundee United II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartans as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Dundee United II?

Spartans 1-0 Dundee United II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Dundee United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Spartans 72%, draw 17%, Dundee United II 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartans) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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