Fulham 1-0 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
71%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.43
Over
58%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.99
No
47%
1.34
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.87
2-3
37%
1.93
4-5
26%
2.67
6+
13%
6.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.87 — our 24% vs market 15.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.2
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1
24%
3.6
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
7%
10.7
2/1
15%
32.5
2/2
5%
34.5
2/X
4%
34.5
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Fulham The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United The Market 9%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.45 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.84
0.83 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.37
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
524 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 66%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
18.3 Crosses 10.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
1-0
AWAY Cambridge United
1.66 xG 0.26
77% Ball Possession 23%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
587 Passes 113
88% Pass Accuracy 57%
34 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Fulham vs Cambridge United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fulham found just enough to beat Cambridge United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 77% to 23% in Fulham's favour, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.66 to 0.26 — on chances created, Fulham won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

Fulham vs Cambridge United Result & Final Score

Fulham 1-0 Cambridge United in the England - League Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fulham vs Cambridge United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Fulham 71%, draw 16%, Cambridge United 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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