Wolverhampton 2-0 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.68
Over Pick
55%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.84
No
45%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.67
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
26%
4.08
6+
11%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.35
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
15%
5.87
X/2
12%
5.12
X/X
9%
4.23
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
19%
3.51
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 33.5 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Wolverhampton The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton The Market 43%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.81 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.62
1.58 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.76
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Bad
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
24.0 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Everton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
416 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-3 HT 1-2 Everton Everton İNP
08.03.2025 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP
04.12.2024 Everton Everton 4-0 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
30.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
26.08.2023 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
20.05.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
2-0
AWAY Everton
0.87 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
372 Passes 337
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Wolverhampton vs Everton
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Wolverhampton saw off Everton 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Wolverhampton made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Wolverhampton's favour, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.87 to 1.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Everton.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Wolverhampton against 1.50 for Everton.

Wolverhampton vs Everton Result & Final Score

Wolverhampton 2-0 Everton in the England - League Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Wolverhampton vs Everton Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 39%, draw 23%, Everton 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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