Burnley vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Burnley v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Burnley 1-2 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff City shaded a tight game against Burnley 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.
A gentle 46% lean on Burnley didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.89, about 53% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Burnley had 47% of the ball to Cardiff City's 53%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.18 to 1.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Burnley and 0.50 for Cardiff City.
Burnley vs Cardiff City Result & Final Score
Burnley 1-2 Cardiff City in the England - League Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Burnley vs Cardiff City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burnley 46%, draw 23%, Cardiff City 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley) went the other way.