Levante 1-4 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Sep 2025

Levante
1-4 HT 0-2
Real Madrid
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Levante vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
6.35
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
68%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.61
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.63
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
15%
5.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
11.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
15%
18.85
1/X
4%
20.0
X/1
6%
15.2
X/2
24%
4.04
X/X
7%
8.06
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.6
2/X
5%
17.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.85 — our 15% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
13%
+2.5pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.0pp
68%
Away Win
70%
-2.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.8pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Levante v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 75%
+18% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.64/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.07
+85% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 493 · 87%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
14.6 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Levante vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.17 xG 2.24
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
324 Passes 476
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 40
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 6-0 HT 4-0 Levante Levante İS1
22.08.2021 Levante Levante 3-3 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
30.01.2021 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-2 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS1
04.10.2020 Levante Levante 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
22.02.2020 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
14.09.2019 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3-2 HT 3-0 Levante Levante İS1

Levante 1-4 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
1-4
AWAY Real Madrid
1.60 xG 3.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
365 Passes 636
88% Pass Accuracy 91%
17 Box Touches 46
7 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levante vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid cruised past Levante 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Levante had 37% of the ball to Real Madrid's 63%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 1.60 to 3.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Levante and 2.50 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Levante vs Real Madrid?

Levante 1-4 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Levante 15%, draw 17%, Real Madrid 68%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
23 Sep 2025
20:00 Athletic Bilbao vs Girona Analysis →
20:00 Espanyol vs Valencia Analysis →
22:30 Sevilla vs Villarreal Analysis →