Espanyol 2-2 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.96
X/2
8%
6.33
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.86
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.38/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.29
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.1 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Valencia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 372
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2025 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 0-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
18.12.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
28.05.2023 Valencia Valencia 2-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
02.10.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
14.05.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
31.12.2021 Valencia Valencia 1-2 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
2-2
AWAY Valencia
2.57 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
356 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 13
36 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol and Valencia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Espanyol at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol had 55% of the ball to Valencia's 45%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.57 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Espanyol and 1.33 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Valencia?

Espanyol 2-2 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 43%, draw 28%, Valencia 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Espanyol), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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