Sevilla vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sevilla v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Sevilla
İS1
Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal nicked a narrow win over Sevilla 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sevilla had 65% of the ball to Villarreal's 35%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.97 to 1.95.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sevilla and 2.00 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Villarreal?
Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 29%, draw 29%, Villarreal 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.